Arcadia is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 34% of adults in Arcadia typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arcadia, ~17% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~66% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Arcadia compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Arcadia sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 62 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 1 leaning the other way.
Arcadia runs about 19 points more Democratic than South Carolina as a whole. South Carolina leans Republican overall, while Arcadia sits closer to the political middle.
Why Arcadia leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Arcadia, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Arcadia votes against the grain of South Carolina. South Carolina leans Republican overall, while Arcadia runs about 19 points more Democratic.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Arcadia, SC sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Arcadia looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Arcadia is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 22%, about 9 points above the South Carolina average of 13%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 87% of households in Arcadia rent, compared to around 33% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 27% of adults in Arcadia report food insecurity, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Saxon, SC D+39
- Southern Shops, SC Even
- Spartanburg, SC R+4
- Valley Falls, SC R+12
- Moore, SC R+21
- Wellford, SC R+30
- Startex, SC Even
- Roebuck, SC R+32
- Holly Springs, SC R+53
- Duncan, SC R+25
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mayton, MS R+75
- Orleans, NE R+69
- La Union, NM R+5
- Weston, CO R+33
- Sharon Center, OH R+33
- Sarah Ann, WV R+68
- Morse Bluff, NE R+57
- Hood, VA R+34
- Parkman, ME R+42
- Wheelwright, MA R+12
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from South Carolina State Election Commission, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.