Arnheim leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Arnheim typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arnheim, ~27% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Arnheim compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Arnheim leans more Republican than 25 of 37 neighbors.
Arnheim runs about 22 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Arnheim. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+40) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+15), a spread of about 25 points.
Why Arnheim leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Arnheim, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Arnheim sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 15 points above the Michigan average of 83%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Arnheim, MI sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Arnheim looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 96% of households in Arnheim own their home, about 13 points above the Michigan average of 83%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Arnheim have completed high school, above 86% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pelkie, MI R+23
- Elo, MI R+23
- Tapiola, MI R+18
- Keweenaw Bay, MI R+31
- White, MI R+15
- Baraga, MI Even
- Winona, MI R+19
- Klingville, MI R+15
- Nisula, MI R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Luther, TX R+86
- Lyonsdale, NY R+45
- Neptune, WV R+66
- Hemlock, WV R+71
- Kings Crossroads, NC R+16
- Tolstoy, SD R+69
- Keewaydin, PA R+63
- Toria, KY R+73
- Hamner, AL D+48
- New Washington, PA R+69
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.