Arvel is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Arvel typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arvel, ~8% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Arvel compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Arvel leans more Republican than 60 of 100 neighbors.
Arvel runs about 41 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Arvel. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+80) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+67), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Arvel leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Arvel, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 8% of adults in Arvel hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Kentucky average of 19%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Arvel sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 85% of cities).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Arvel, KY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Arvel looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Arvel is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 10 points below the Kentucky average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 71% of adults in Arvel have completed high school, below 98% of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Arvel sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Yellow Rock, KY R+66
- Millers Creek, KY R+67
- New Zion, KY R+76
- Heidelberg, KY R+64
- Wagersville, KY R+63
- Idamay, KY R+69
- Travellers Rest, KY R+80
- Mount Olive, KY R+64
- Waneta, KY R+81
Cities with Similar Populations
- Midway, OH R+63
- Uwharrie, NC R+67
- Glynwood, OH R+72
- Gold Dale, VA R+36
- Elwin, IL R+51
- Garretts Run, PA R+45
- Reo, IN R+51
- Munson, FL R+80
- Olean, IN R+68
- Cicero, KS R+59
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.