Oak Park Heights leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 96% of adults in Oak Park Heights typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oak Park Heights, ~56% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~3% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oak Park Heights compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oak Park Heights leans more Democratic than 59 of 89 neighbors.
Oak Park Heights runs about 12 points more Democratic than Minnesota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Oak Park Heights. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+24) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+9), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Oak Park Heights leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oak Park Heights, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 70% of residents in Oak Park Heights live in densely developed areas, about 33 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Oak Park Heights sits in the top quarter (about 44%, above 90% of cities).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Oak Park Heights, MN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Oak Park Heights looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Oak Park Heights is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Oak Park Heights have completed high school, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Stillwater, MN D+12
- Bayport, MN D+14
- Houlton, WI R+23
- North Hudson, WI R+8
- Lake Elmo, MN D+4
- Grant, MN R+11
- Lakeland, MN Even
- Lakeland Shores, MN R+2
- Pine Springs, MN D+4
- Willernie, MN D+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Asbury, IA R+18
- Buena Vista, MI D+75
- Mount Ephraim, NJ Even
- West Clarkston-Highland, WA R+29
- Windcrest, TX D+4
- Hinton, OK R+64
- West Newton, PA R+33
- Annandale, MN R+34
- Cherokee, IA R+36
- Carnation, WA D+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.