Ashley is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Ashley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ashley, ~17% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ashley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ashley leans more Republican than 27 of 66 neighbors.
Ashley runs about 68 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Ashley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Ashley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ashley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 92% of residents in Ashley drive to work alone, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Ashley are family households, above 79% of cities. Ashley runs against the grain of Illinois, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Ashley, IL sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Ashley looks the way it does
Turnout in Ashley sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Radom, IL R+57
- Richview, IL R+64
- Roaches, IL R+64
- Du Bois, IL R+58
- Irvington, IL R+56
- Cravat, IL R+64
- Woodlawn, IL R+57
- Hoyleton, IL R+62
- Huegely, IL R+62
- Nashville, IL R+42
Cities with Similar Populations
- Oak Knoll, OH R+48
- Bristol, GA R+81
- South Woodbury, OH R+60
- Findlay, IL R+61
- South Mansfield, LA D+39
- Organ Cave, WV R+54
- Round Lake, MN R+59
- West Van Lear, KY R+58
- Plantersville, AL R+39
- Hutsonville, IL R+58
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.