Aurora is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Aurora typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Aurora, ~20% vote Democratic, ~68% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Aurora compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Aurora leans more Republican than 4 of 33 neighbors.
Aurora runs about 33 points more Republican than Nebraska as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Aurora. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+66) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+52), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Aurora leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Aurora, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Aurora votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 33%, well above the Nebraska average of 17%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Aurora, NE sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Aurora looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Aurora is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Aurora have completed high school, above 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hampton, NE R+68
- Marquette, NE R+69
- Stockham, NE R+69
- Giltner, NE R+71
- Phillips, NE R+67
- Henderson, NE R+64
- Bradshaw, NE R+70
- Chapman, NE R+68
- Overland, NE R+68
- Riverside Park, NE R+65
Cities with Similar Populations
- Villa Ridge, MO R+49
- Emory, TX R+72
- Dover, TN R+64
- West Fork, AR R+37
- La Habra Heights, CA R+10
- Massac, KY R+34
- Perkins, OK R+45
- Morganfield, KY R+49
- Walton, NY R+24
- Treasure Lake, PA R+30
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Nebraska Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.