Avondale leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Avondale typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Avondale, ~29% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Avondale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Avondale leans more Democratic than 33 of 52 neighbors.
Avondale runs about 30 points more Democratic than Louisiana as a whole. Louisiana leans Republican overall, while Avondale is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Avondale. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+31) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+18), a spread of about 48 points.
Why Avondale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Avondale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 63% of residents in Avondale live in densely developed areas, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 50% of adults in Avondale have never been married, above 98% of cities. Avondale runs against the grain of Louisiana, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Avondale, LA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Avondale looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Avondale is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 7 points below the Louisiana average of 55%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 34% of adults in Avondale report food insecurity, above 97% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 83% of adults in Avondale have completed high school, below 86% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kennedy Heights, LA D+21
- Harahan, LA R+29
- Waggaman, LA D+42
- Bridge City, LA D+22
- Westwego, LA R+11
- River Ridge, LA R+20
- South Kenner, LA R+4
- Jefferson, LA D+7
- Ama, LA R+9
- Marrero, LA D+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- Buckner, MO R+38
- Gang Mills, NY Even
- New Kent, VA R+29
- Hope, RI R+14
- Hickory Creek, TX R+29
- Okanogan, WA R+29
- Wakeman, OH R+48
- Freeport, PA R+44
- Curwensville, PA R+50
- Prescott, AR R+8
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Louisiana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.