Baird is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Baird typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Baird, ~12% vote Democratic, ~67% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Baird compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Baird leans more Republican than 7 of 22 neighbors.
Baird runs about 57 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Baird. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+81) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+62), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Baird leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Baird, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 86% of residents in Baird drive to work alone, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Baird, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Baird looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Baird is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Clyde, TX R+66
- Eula, TX R+75
- Rowden, TX R+78
- Putnam, TX R+81
- Hamby, TX R+68
- Moran, TX R+85
- Scranton, TX R+78
- Dudley, TX R+74
- Oplin, TX R+76
- Abilene, TX R+30
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rio Vista, TX R+71
- Zellwood, FL R+31
- Carlisle, AR R+64
- Pigeon, MI R+36
- Gurdon, AR R+24
- Star Valley, AZ R+53
- Round Lake Heights, IL D+7
- North Prairie, WI R+40
- White Mountain Lake, AZ R+61
- Pleasantville, OH R+55
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.