Bakersfield leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 86% of adults in Bakersfield typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bakersfield, ~32% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bakersfield compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bakersfield leans more Republican than 38 of 61 neighbors.
Bakersfield runs about 58 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Bakersfield is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Bakersfield leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bakersfield, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Bakersfield votes against the grain of Vermont. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Bakersfield runs about 58 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Bakersfield, VT sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Bakersfield looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Bakersfield is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in Bakersfield own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Bakersfield have completed high school, above 88% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Montgomery, VT R+26
- East Enosburg, VT R+27
- East Fairfield, VT R+22
- Waterville, VT R+17
- Enosburg Falls, VT R+31
- Belvidere Center, VT R+18
- East Sheldon, VT R+44
- Fairfield, VT R+27
- Fletcher, VT R+18
- Jeffersonville, VT D+5
Cities with Similar Populations
- Billingsley, AL R+69
- Finlayson, MN R+43
- Center, MO R+67
- Crozier, VA R+21
- Sageville, IA R+31
- Maysville, OH R+57
- Simonton, TX R+45
- Malbis, AL R+53
- West Rushville, OH R+54
- Bigfork, MN R+32
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.