Bay Pines leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Bay Pines typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bay Pines, ~33% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bay Pines compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bay Pines leans more Republican than 21 of 50 neighbors.
Politically, Bay Pines sits close to the rest of Florida.
Why Bay Pines leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bay Pines, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Bay Pines votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 71%, modestly above the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Bay Pines, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Bay Pines looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Bay Pines is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, above 67% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Madeira Beach, FL R+20
- Redington Beach, FL R+26
- Seminole, FL R+18
- West Lealman, FL R+9
- Bardmoor, FL R+20
- North Redington Beach, FL R+24
- Redington Shores, FL R+21
- Treasure Island, FL R+19
- Kenneth City, FL R+16
- Pinellas Park, FL R+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Vivian, LA R+23
- Howard, PA R+50
- Idyllwild-Pine Cove, CA D+11
- Creston, OH R+51
- Meadowbrook, CA R+11
- Frenchtown, NJ R+8
- Cross Roads, TX R+14
- Newark, TX R+60
- Glasgow, MT R+45
- Cottageville, SC R+49
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.