Guilford is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Guilford typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Guilford, ~13% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Guilford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Guilford leans more Republican than 7 of 47 neighbors.
Guilford runs about 40 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Guilford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Guilford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Guilford sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 10 points above the Missouri average of 87%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Guilford, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Guilford looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 98% of adults in Guilford have completed high school, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cawood, MO R+61
- Conception, MO R+58
- Barnard, MO R+60
- Rea, MO R+62
- Bolckow, MO R+61
- Clyde, MO R+60
- Pumpkin Center, MO R+68
- Stanberry, MO R+65
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hoover, IN R+56
- Yellow Bluff, AL D+85
- Vernon, CO R+75
- Bleecker, NY R+30
- Hunter, OK R+76
- Virlilia, MS R+33
- Campus, IL R+50
- North Wade, ME R+41
- Jacksonburg, WV R+69
- Lenox, TN R+76
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.