Bartow, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Bartow

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Bartow leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.

 

About 61% of adults in Bartow typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bartow, ~25% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Bartow compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Bartow leans more Republican than 8 of 52 neighbors.

Bartow runs about 6 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bartow. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+40), a spread of about 45 points.

Why Bartow leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bartow, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Bartow votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 52%, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Bartow, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Bartow looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Bartow is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 29% of households in Bartow rent, above 83% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.