Dade City leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Dade City typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dade City, ~23% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dade City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dade City leans more Republican than 16 of 39 neighbors.
Dade City runs about 17 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Dade City. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+44) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 40 points.
Why Dade City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dade City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dade City votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 39%, well below the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Dade City, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Dade City looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Dade City is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- St. Leo, FL R+15
- St. Joseph, FL R+39
- San Antonio, FL R+27
- Pasadena Hills, FL R+23
- Zephyrhills, FL R+26
- Zephyrhills West, FL R+29
- Darby, FL R+44
- Ridge Manor, FL R+43
- Spring Lake, FL R+56
- Zephyrhills South, FL R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pataskala, OH R+25
- Bonney Lake, WA R+5
- Bartow, FL R+19
- Miccosukee Cpo, FL R+3
- Millville, NJ D+5
- Maryland Heights, MO D+27
- Lansing, IL D+49
- Gloucester, MA D+16
- Geneva, IL D+12
- Woodstock, IL D+3
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.