Baxley leans heavily Republican by roughly 50 points: about 25% of voters vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Baxley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Baxley, ~17% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Baxley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Baxley leans more Republican than 4 of 25 neighbors.
Baxley runs about 47 points more Republican than Georgia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Baxley. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+78) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+18), a spread of about 60 points.
Why Baxley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Baxley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Baxley votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 27%, about 10 points below the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Baxley sits in the bottom quarter (about 11%, below 91% of cities).
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Baxley, GA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Baxley looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Baxley is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 7 points below the Georgia average of 56%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Graham, GA R+45
- Pine Grove, GA R+72
- Surrency, GA R+50
- Hazlehurst, GA R+53
- Rockingham, GA R+75
- Alma, GA R+51
- Guysie, GA R+78
- Uvalda, GA R+73
- Johnson Corner, GA R+72
- Denton, GA R+79
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hellertown, PA R+9
- Escalon, CA R+42
- Paw Paw, MI R+20
- Norfolk, MA D+20
- Bridgewater, NJ Even
- Egg Harbor City, NJ R+11
- Urbana, MD D+28
- Camden, DE Even
- Palos Verdes Estates, CA D+15
- Wynne, AR R+35
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Georgia Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.