Bay Point leans heavily Democratic by roughly 36 points: about 68% of voters vote Democratic and 32% Republican.
About 34% of adults in Bay Point typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bay Point, ~23% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~66% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bay Point compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bay Point leans more Democratic than 37 of 65 neighbors.
Bay Point runs about 17 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bay Point. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+47) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+29), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Bay Point leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bay Point, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 73% of residents in Bay Point live in densely developed areas, about 37 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 46% of adults in Bay Point have never been married, above 97% of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Bay Point, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Bay Point looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Bay Point is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 44% of households in Bay Point rent, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in Bay Point report food insecurity, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pittsburg, CA D+38
- Concord, CA D+33
- Clayton, CA D+14
- Pleasant Hill, CA D+41
- Martinez, CA D+30
- Antioch, CA D+34
- Reliez Valley, CA D+34
- Birds Landing, CA R+33
- Cordelia, CA Even
- Walnut Creek, CA D+47
Cities with Similar Populations
- Farmington, UT R+26
- Alice, TX R+4
- New Caney, TX R+38
- Silver Bell, AZ R+6
- Shippensburg, PA R+31
- Auburn Hills, MI D+23
- Hudson, OH D+4
- South Elgin, IL D+4
- Smyrna, DE D+15
- Mequon, WI D+4
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.