Bay Springs is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Bay Springs typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bay Springs, ~36% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bay Springs compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bay Springs sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 28 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 7 leaning the other way.
Bay Springs runs about 24 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Bay Springs sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bay Springs. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+38) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+29), a spread of about 67 points.
Why Bay Springs leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bay Springs, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Bay Springs votes against the grain of Mississippi. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Bay Springs runs about 24 points more Democratic.
Developed land and Democratic lean
Places with a heavily developed built environment tend to lean Democratic; Bay Springs, MS sits above the national average on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Bay Springs looks the way it does
Turnout in Bay Springs sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Waldrup, MS R+22
- Sylvarena, MS R+44
- McNeal, MS Even
- Moss, MS R+7
- Stringer, MS R+58
- Louin, MS R+5
- Montrose, MS R+27
- Cohay, MS R+42
- Summerland, MS D+16
- Ras, MS R+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Elkhart, IL R+50
- Wagener, SC R+37
- Montegut, LA R+79
- Jacksons' Gap, AL R+67
- Runaway Bay, TX R+72
- Ellsworth, KS R+45
- Eupora, MS R+31
- Remington, VA R+23
- Fairfax, VT R+17
- Merton, WI R+32
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.