Runaway Bay is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Runaway Bay typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Runaway Bay, ~10% vote Democratic, ~64% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Runaway Bay compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Runaway Bay leans more Republican than 18 of 42 neighbors.
Runaway Bay runs about 58 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Runaway Bay leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Runaway Bay, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Runaway Bay votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 25%, modestly below the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Runaway Bay are family households, above 84% of cities.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Runaway Bay, TX sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Runaway Bay looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Runaway Bay is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bridgeport, TX R+62
- Decatur, TX R+63
- Paradise, TX R+77
- Greenwood, TX R+74
- Lake Bridgeport, TX R+72
- Alvord, TX R+75
- Chico, TX R+75
- Balsora, TX R+77
- Lucky Ridge, TX R+76
- Boyd, TX R+74
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ellsworth, KS R+45
- Jacksons' Gap, AL R+67
- Wagener, SC R+37
- Mulino, OR R+34
- Tipton, MO R+57
- Red Oak, NC R+42
- Linden, TN R+73
- Bay Springs, MS Even
- Fredericksburg, PA R+56
- Elkhart, IL R+50
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.