Bay Village leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 97% of adults in Bay Village typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bay Village, ~57% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~3% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bay Village compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bay Village leans more Democratic than 56 of 81 neighbors.
Bay Village runs about 29 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole. Ohio leans Republican overall, while Bay Village is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bay Village. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+27) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+15), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Bay Village leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bay Village, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 69% of adults in Bay Village hold a bachelor's degree, about 41 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Bay Village sits in the top fifth on density (about 80%, above 94% of cities). Bay Village runs against the grain of Ohio, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Bay Village, OH sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Bay Village looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Bay Village is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in Bay Village own their home, compared to around 77% in nearby cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in Bay Village have completed high school, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Westlake, OH D+8
- Rocky River, OH D+21
- Avon Lake, OH R+3
- North Olmsted, OH Even
- Fairview Park, OH D+16
- Avon, OH R+8
- Lakewood, OH D+45
- North Ridgeville, OH R+13
- Olmsted Falls, OH R+4
- Sheffield, OH R+10
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lindale, TX R+63
- Barre, VT D+3
- South Houston, TX D+7
- Millbrook, AL R+28
- Rhinelander, WI R+15
- Fitzgerald, GA R+14
- New Paltz, NY D+51
- Grand Rapids, MN R+16
- Ham Lake, MN R+27
- Grenada, MS Even
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.