Avon Lake is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 97% of adults in Avon Lake typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Avon Lake, ~48% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~2% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Avon Lake compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Avon Lake sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 23 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 39 leaning the other way.
Avon Lake runs about 8 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole.
Why Avon Lake leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Avon Lake. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Avon Lake, OH sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Avon Lake looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Avon Lake is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Avon Lake have completed high school, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Avon, OH R+8
- Bay Village, OH D+18
- Sheffield Lake, OH R+9
- Sheffield, OH R+10
- Westlake, OH D+8
- North Olmsted, OH Even
- North Ridgeville, OH R+13
- Rocky River, OH D+21
- Fairview Park, OH D+16
- Lorain, OH D+14
Cities with Similar Populations
- Randolph, NJ D+7
- Moss Point, MS R+12
- Columbine, CO D+3
- Union, KY R+28
- Picayune, MS R+45
- Cortland, NY R+4
- Harleysville, PA Even
- Madisonville, KY R+38
- Kelso, WA R+18
- Benbrook, TX R+23
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.