Baywood-Aragon is a Democratic stronghold. About 75% of voters here vote Democratic and 25% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Baywood-Aragon typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Baywood-Aragon, ~56% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Baywood-Aragon compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Baywood-Aragon leans more Democratic than 8 of 13 neighbors.
Baywood-Aragon runs about 31 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Why Baywood-Aragon leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Baywood-Aragon, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 75% of adults in Baywood-Aragon hold a bachelor's degree, about 47 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Baywood-Aragon, San Mateo, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Baywood-Aragon looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Baywood-Aragon is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 76%, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Baywood-Aragon have completed high school, above 95% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Downtown San Mateo, San Mateo, CA D+55
- Haywood Park, San Mateo, CA D+52
- North Central San Francisco, San Mateo, CA D+50
- Beresford, San Mateo, CA D+52
- East San Mateo, San Mateo, CA D+40
- Shoreview, San Mateo, CA D+44
- Downtown Burlingame, Burlingame, CA D+52
- Western Hills, San Mateo, CA D+41
- Sugerloaf, San Mateo, CA D+50
- Hillsdale, San Mateo, CA D+50
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Area IV, Cambridge, MA D+74
- Old River Terrace, Channelview, TX R+21
- Inverness, Hoover, AL R+26
- Inglewood-Riverwood, Nashville, TN D+24
- Alki, Seattle, WA D+68
- Overlook, Portland, OR D+83
- Melrose, Nashville, TN D+41
- Clarke Square, Milwaukee, WI D+46
- Riverside, Wichita, KS R+13
- East Richmond, Richmond, CA D+66
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.