Beale Afb leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 38% of adults in Beale Afb typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Beale Afb, ~16% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~62% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Beale Afb compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Beale Afb leans more Republican than 15 of 49 neighbors.
Beale Afb runs about 36 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Beale Afb is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Beale Afb. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+39) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+7), a spread of about 32 points.
Why Beale Afb leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Beale Afb, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Beale Afb votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Beale Afb runs about 36 points more Republican.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Beale Afb, CA does.
Why turnout in Beale Afb looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 80% of households in Beale Afb rent, about 55 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hammonton, CA R+30
- Wheatland, CA R+37
- Smartville, CA R+30
- Sheridan, CA R+47
- Linda, CA R+9
- Olivehurst, CA R+11
- Penn Valley, CA R+7
- Browns Valley, CA R+35
- Marysville, CA R+12
- Plumas Lake, CA R+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- East Sparta, OH R+50
- Wells, MN R+36
- Candor, NY R+37
- Nisswa, MN R+24
- Frankton, IN R+46
- Kechi, KS R+35
- Union, WA D+10
- Kahuku, HI D+7
- Gillett, WI R+42
- Hazen, ND R+61
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.