Bearden leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 51% of adults in Bearden typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bearden, ~19% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bearden compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bearden leans more Republican than 7 of 37 neighbors.
Bearden runs about 7 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bearden. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+44) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 34 points.
Why Bearden leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bearden, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 12% of adults in Bearden hold a bachelor's degree, about 6 points below the Arkansas average of 18%.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Bearden, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Bearden looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Bearden is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 43%, about 8 points below the Arkansas average of 51%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 29% of households in Bearden rent, above 82% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 30% of adults in Bearden report food insecurity, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Eagle Mills, AR R+43
- Holly Springs, AR R+52
- Thornton, AR R+58
- Harmony Grove, AR R+58
- East Camden, AR R+53
- Velie, AR R+44
- Woodberry, AR R+69
- Ramsey, AR R+64
- Lakeside, AR R+66
- Kent, AR R+59
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cameron, SC R+23
- Challis, ID R+59
- Oakland, IA R+31
- Fosters, AL R+44
- Myrtle Springs, TX R+78
- Grasston, MN R+46
- Walnut, IL R+44
- Williamsville, IL R+39
- Society Hill, SC D+6
- Sopchoppy, FL R+57
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.