Toimi leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 43% of adults in Toimi typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Toimi, ~20% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~57% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Toimi compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Toimi leans more Republican than 7 of 16 neighbors.
Toimi runs about 13 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Toimi is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Toimi. The southeast side is the most split-leaning (R+21) and the north side is the least split-leaning (R+2), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Toimi leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Toimi, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Toimi sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 10 points above the Minnesota average of 86%. Toimi runs against the grain of Minnesota, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Toimi, MN sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Toimi looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Toimi is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fairbanks, MN R+5
- Wales, MN R+12
- Brimson, MN Even
- Highland, MN R+12
- Hoyt Lakes, MN R+15
- Markham, MN Even
- Whyte, MN R+7
- Palo, MN R+25
- Aurora, MN R+14
- Colby, MN R+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alanreed, TX R+89
- Woolsey, AR R+42
- Sunrise, MO R+76
- Woodruff, KS R+75
- Belden, CA R+3
- Marshall, NY R+53
- Pennsville, OH R+56
- Mapes, ND R+42
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.