Belfast leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 85% of adults in Belfast typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Belfast, ~47% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Belfast compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Belfast leans more Democratic than 69 of 90 neighbors.
Politically, Belfast sits close to the rest of Maine.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Belfast. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+19) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+8), a spread of about 27 points.
Why Belfast leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Belfast, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 38% of adults in Belfast hold a bachelor's degree, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Belfast, ME sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Belfast looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Belfast is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dog Island Corner, ME D+22
- Waldo, ME R+22
- Searsport, ME R+15
- Morrill, ME R+15
- Swanville, ME R+22
- Lincolnville Center, ME R+18
- Lincolnville, ME D+21
- Slab City, ME D+17
- Fosters Corner, ME R+24
- Stockton Springs, ME R+14
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hitchcock, TX R+7
- Vilonia, AR R+63
- Salado, TX R+57
- Monrovia, MD R+5
- Ste. Genevieve, MO R+49
- Davisburg, MI R+24
- Murphy, MO R+32
- Bedford, PA R+53
- Smithsburg, MD R+39
- Wellsville, NY R+38
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.