Swanville leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 84% of adults in Swanville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Swanville, ~33% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Swanville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Swanville leans more Republican than 60 of 88 neighbors.
Swanville runs about 29 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Swanville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Swanville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Swanville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Swanville votes against the grain of Maine. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Swanville runs about 29 points more Republican.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Swanville, ME sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Swanville looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in Swanville own their home, about 7 points above the Maine average of 83%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Searsport, ME R+15
- Waldo, ME R+22
- Fosters Corner, ME R+24
- Monroe, ME R+17
- Frankfort, ME R+18
- Belfast, ME D+11
- Stockton Springs, ME R+14
- Brooks, ME R+24
- North Monroe, ME R+20
- Prospect Ferry, ME R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Flatwoods, VA R+54
- Spring Valley, KY D+19
- Olmstead, KY R+63
- Yauhannah, SC R+15
- Hickory Flat, KY R+58
- Highland Haven, TX R+54
- Port Royal, VA R+7
- Gracemont, OK R+69
- Star Tannery, VA R+51
- Protection, KS R+77
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.