Bell County is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Bell County typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bell County, ~27% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bell County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Bell County leans more Republican than 1 of 7 neighbors.
Bell County runs about 11 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Bell County. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+26) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+32), a spread of about 57 points.
Why Bell County leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Bell County. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Bell County, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Bell County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Bell County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 41% of households in Bell County rent, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Coryell County, TX R+27
- Lampasas County, TX R+55
- Williamson County, TX Even
- Falls County, TX R+25
- McLennan County, TX R+19
- Milam County, TX R+51
- Burnet County, TX R+56
- Travis County, TX D+37
- Bosque County, TX R+63
- Hamilton County, TX R+69
Counties with Similar Populations
- Brazoria County, TX R+17
- Washtenaw County, MI D+44
- Lehigh County, PA D+6
- Stark County, OH R+18
- Hamilton County, TN R+10
- Collier County, FL R+20
- Marion County, FL R+28
- Chesterfield County, VA D+12
- Anoka County, MN Even
- Davis County, UT R+24
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.