Chesterfield County leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 85% of adults in Chesterfield County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Chesterfield County, ~47% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Chesterfield County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Chesterfield County leans more Democratic than 21 of 28 neighbors.
Chesterfield County runs about 6 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Chesterfield County. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+33) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+13), a spread of about 46 points.
Why Chesterfield County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Chesterfield County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 43% of adults in Chesterfield County hold a bachelor's degree, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Chesterfield County sits in the top fifth on density (about 69%, above 90% of counties).
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Chesterfield County, VA sits above the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Chesterfield County looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Chesterfield County is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Richmond City, VA D+65
- Henrico County, VA D+31
- Colonial Heights City, VA R+19
- Hopewell City, VA D+23
- Petersburg City, VA D+71
- Powhatan County, VA R+38
- Dinwiddie County, VA R+16
- Prince George County, VA R+2
- Hanover County, VA R+21
- Amelia County, VA R+40
Counties with Similar Populations
- Anoka County, MN Even
- Hamilton County, TN R+10
- Davis County, UT R+24
- Larimer County, CO D+16
- Bell County, TX R+3
- Douglas County, CO R+7
- Brazoria County, TX R+17
- Washtenaw County, MI D+44
- Westmoreland County, PA R+26
- Lehigh County, PA D+6
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.