Belle Haven leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Belle Haven typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Belle Haven, ~30% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Belle Haven compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Belle Haven leans more Republican than 25 of 51 neighbors.
Belle Haven runs about 15 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Belle Haven is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Belle Haven. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+7) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+24), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Belle Haven leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Belle Haven, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Belle Haven votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Belle Haven runs about 15 points more Republican.
Cholesterol-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high cholesterol-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Belle Haven, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cholesterol screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Belle Haven looks the way it does
Turnout in Belle Haven sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Exmore, VA D+2
- Painter, VA R+18
- Craddockville, VA R+24
- Willis Wharf, VA Even
- Mappsburg, VA R+20
- Hare Valley, VA D+13
- Jamesville, VA R+21
- Pungoteague, VA R+17
- Quinby, VA R+22
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cable, WI R+11
- Smiths, MS R+12
- James, TX R+78
- Stillwater, PA R+54
- French Camp, MS R+57
- Cook Springs, AL R+84
- Pine Ridge, TX R+80
- Peck, KS R+60
- DeBord, KY R+64
- Fairfield Center, ME R+27
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.