Mappsburg leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Mappsburg typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mappsburg, ~21% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mappsburg compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mappsburg leans more Republican than 34 of 55 neighbors.
Mappsburg runs about 26 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Mappsburg is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mappsburg. The west side is the most split-leaning (R+22) and the southwest side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Mappsburg leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mappsburg, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Mappsburg live in densely developed areas, about 23 points below the Virginia average of 26%. Mappsburg runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Mappsburg, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Mappsburg looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Mappsburg is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 28% of households in Mappsburg rent, above 81% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 24% of adults in Mappsburg report food insecurity, above 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Quinby, VA R+22
- Painter, VA R+18
- Keller, VA D+4
- Belle Haven, VA R+9
- Willis Wharf, VA Even
- Pungoteague, VA R+17
- Melfa, VA R+15
- Wachapreague, VA R+22
- Exmore, VA D+2
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hallowell, KS R+68
- Hallock, IL R+59
- Adna, WA R+44
- Flat, MO R+57
- Sinclair, WV R+62
- Lairdsville, NY R+37
- Sitka, TN R+63
- Sinnamahoning, PA R+56
- Center Station, OH R+67
- Kyle, NC R+52
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.