Painter, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Painter

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Painter leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.

 

About 62% of adults in Painter typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Painter, ~26% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Painter compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Painter leans more Republican than 33 of 55 neighbors.

Painter runs about 24 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Painter is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Painter. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+24) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 19 points.

Why Painter leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Painter, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Painter live in densely developed areas, about 21 points below the Virginia average of 26%. Painter runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Paved land cover and Republican lean

Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Painter, VA sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Painter looks the way it does

Turnout in Painter sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

All Local Stats

Home Services

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.