Willis Wharf, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Willis Wharf

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Willis Wharf is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.

 

About 56% of adults in Willis Wharf typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Willis Wharf, ~27% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Willis Wharf compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Willis Wharf sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 19 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 31 leaning the other way.

Willis Wharf runs about 7 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole.

Why Willis Wharf leans the way it does

Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Willis Wharf. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.

Park access and Republican lean

Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Willis Wharf, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.

Why turnout in Willis Wharf looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 52% of households in Willis Wharf rent, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 8% of homes in Willis Wharf have more than one occupant per room, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.