Belle Isle, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Belle Isle

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Belle Isle leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.

 

About 87% of adults in Belle Isle typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Belle Isle, ~38% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Belle Isle compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Belle Isle leans more Republican than 42 of 57 neighbors.

Politically, Belle Isle sits close to the rest of Florida.

Why Belle Isle leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Belle Isle, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Belle Isle votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 60%, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Belle Isle, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Belle Isle looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Belle Isle is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.