Pine Castle, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Pine Castle

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Pine Castle leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.

 

About 47% of adults in Pine Castle typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pine Castle, ~26% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Pine Castle compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Pine Castle leans more Democratic than 51 of 59 neighbors.

Pine Castle runs about 25 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Pine Castle is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Pine Castle. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+19) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+14), a spread of about 33 points.

Why Pine Castle leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pine Castle, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. About 84% of residents in Pine Castle live in densely developed areas, about 48 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 41% of adults in Pine Castle have never been married, above 94% of cities. Pine Castle runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Pine Castle, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Pine Castle looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Pine Castle is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 8 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 55% of households in Pine Castle rent, compared to around 33% in nearby cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 81% of adults in Pine Castle have completed high school, below 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.