Orlando, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Orlando

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Orlando is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.

 

About 65% of adults in the Orlando area typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in the Orlando area, ~33% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Orlando compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Orlando sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 38 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 24 leaning the other way.

Orlando runs about 16 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Orlando sits closer to the political middle.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Orlando. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+12) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+25), a spread of about 37 points.

Why Orlando leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Orlando, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Orlando votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Orlando runs about 16 points more Democratic.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Orlando, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Orlando looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Orlando is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.