Belleair leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 90% of adults in Belleair typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Belleair, ~37% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Belleair compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Belleair leans more Republican than 29 of 46 neighbors.
Belleair runs about 6 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Belleair. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+21) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+10), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Belleair leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Belleair, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Belleair votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 77%, well above the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Belleair are family households, above 75% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Belleair, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Belleair looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Belleair is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in Belleair have completed high school, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Belleair Bluffs, FL R+14
- Belleair Beach, FL R+41
- Clearwater Beach, FL R+25
- Largo, FL R+11
- Indian Rocks Beach, FL R+21
- Clearwater, FL R+3
- Indian Shores, FL R+27
- Seminole, FL R+18
- South Highpoint, FL D+8
- Bardmoor, FL R+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- Preston, MD R+45
- Pablo, MT R+22
- Langley, WA D+54
- Berwyn Heights, MD D+47
- Planada, CA D+10
- Pacolet, SC R+57
- Tully, NY R+9
- Mountain View, MO R+64
- West Middlesex, PA R+40
- Galena, KS R+55
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.