Belmont is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Belmont typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Belmont, ~33% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Belmont compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Belmont sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 7 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 1 leaning the other way.
Belmont runs about 9 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Belmont. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+15) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+14), a spread of about 29 points.
Why Belmont leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Belmont, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Belmont, about 87% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 25% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, below 68% of neighborhoods.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; Belmont, Dayton, OH sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Belmont looks the way it does
Turnout in Belmont sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Linden Heights, Dayton, OH D+3
- Walnut Hills-Dayton, Dayton, OH D+9
- oakwood, Dayton, OH D+33
- Eastern Hills, Dayton, OH R+9
- University Park, Dayton, OH D+23
- Burkhardt, Dayton, OH D+2
- Wright View, Dayton, OH Even
- Old North Dayton, Dayton, OH D+3
- North Riverdale, Dayton, OH D+61
- West Wood, Dayton, OH D+87
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Berkeley, Martinsburg, WV R+23
- Martin Luther King, Shreveport, LA D+78
- Lyell-Otis, Rochester, NY D+49
- Northwest, Manchester, NH D+25
- Hayward Highland, Hayward, CA D+41
- Clifton, Cincinnati, OH D+68
- Fassnight, Springfield, MO D+7
- Lower Highlands, Fall River, MA D+10
- Ben Hill, Atlanta, GA D+83
- Mill Park, Portland, OR D+31
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.