Old North Dayton, Dayton, OH Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Old North Dayton

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Old North Dayton is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.

 

About 53% of adults in Old North Dayton typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Old North Dayton, ~27% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Old North Dayton compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Old North Dayton sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 6 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 7 leaning the other way.

Old North Dayton runs about 14 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole. Ohio leans Republican overall, while Old North Dayton sits closer to the political middle.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Old North Dayton. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+23) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+9), a spread of about 32 points.

Why Old North Dayton leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Old North Dayton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Old North Dayton votes against the grain of Ohio. Ohio leans Republican overall, while Old North Dayton runs about 14 points more Democratic.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Old North Dayton, Dayton, OH sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Old North Dayton looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Old North Dayton is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 40%, about 22 points below the Ohio average of 61%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 36% of adults in Old North Dayton report food insecurity, above 89% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Old North Dayton sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.