Walnut Hills-Dayton, Dayton, OH Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Walnut Hills-Dayton

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Walnut Hills-Dayton leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.

 

About 52% of adults in Walnut Hills-Dayton typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Walnut Hills-Dayton, ~28% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Walnut Hills-Dayton compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Walnut Hills-Dayton leans more Democratic than 6 of 11 neighbors.

Walnut Hills-Dayton runs about 20 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole. Ohio leans Republican overall, while Walnut Hills-Dayton is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Walnut Hills-Dayton. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+18) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+3), a spread of about 15 points.

Why Walnut Hills-Dayton leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Walnut Hills-Dayton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Walnut Hills-Dayton votes against the grain of Ohio. Ohio leans Republican overall, while Walnut Hills-Dayton runs about 20 points more Democratic.

Park access and Democratic lean

Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; Walnut Hills-Dayton, Dayton, OH sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.

Why turnout in Walnut Hills-Dayton looks the way it does

High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. Walnut Hills-Dayton sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.