Belvedere is a Democratic stronghold. About 76% of voters here vote Democratic and 24% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Belvedere typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Belvedere, ~52% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Belvedere compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Belvedere leans more Democratic than 52 of 82 neighbors.
Belvedere runs about 31 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Why Belvedere leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Belvedere, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 88% of adults in Belvedere hold a bachelor's degree, about 59 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Belvedere sits in the top fifth on density (about 37%, above 83% of cities).
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Belvedere, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Belvedere looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Belvedere is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 79%, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Belvedere have completed high school, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tiburon, CA D+44
- Belvedere-Tiburon, CA D+42
- Sausalito, CA D+59
- Mill Valley, CA D+55
- Tamalpais-Homestead Valley, CA D+62
- Corte Madera, CA D+56
- San Quentin, CA D+41
- Larkspur, CA D+58
- Muir Beach, CA D+46
- Greenbrae, CA D+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- River Hills, WI D+19
- Bethany Beach, DE D+7
- Apache, OK R+57
- Coltman, ID R+71
- Deming, WA R+3
- Lapwai, ID R+5
- Lipscomb, AL D+75
- Hadley, MI R+37
- Badin, NC R+18
- Hanoverton, OH R+60
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.