Big Flat is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 48% of adults in Big Flat typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Big Flat, ~9% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Big Flat compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Big Flat leans more Republican than 26 of 63 neighbors.
Big Flat runs about 32 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Big Flat. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+72) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+58), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Big Flat leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Big Flat, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Big Flat live in densely developed areas, about 9 points below the Arkansas average of 13%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Big Flat, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Big Flat looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Big Flat is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Onia, AR R+65
- Harriet, AR R+71
- Harness, AR R+64
- Fifty-Six, AR R+64
- Timbo, AR R+64
- Morning Star, AR R+72
- Oxley, AR R+69
- Elberta, AR R+68
- Culp, AR R+60
- Gayler, AR R+64
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lithium, MO R+69
- South Russell, NY R+43
- Alpine Heights, CA R+44
- Kelly, WY D+17
- Ulysses, KY R+71
- Bruno, NE R+64
- Frew, KY R+70
- Greensboro Bend, VT D+7
- Funston, TX R+80
- Cranberry Prairie, OH R+81
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.