Blue Gap, AZ Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Blue Gap

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Blue Gap is a Democratic stronghold. About 79% of voters here vote Democratic and 21% Republican.

 

About 61% of adults in Blue Gap typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Blue Gap, ~48% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Blue Gap compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Blue Gap leans more Democratic than 6 of 9 neighbors.

Blue Gap runs about 64 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Blue Gap is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Blue Gap. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+66) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+48), a spread of about 17 points.

Why Blue Gap leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Blue Gap, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Blue Gap votes against the grain of Arizona. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Blue Gap runs about 64 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 54% of adults in Blue Gap have never been married, in the top fraction of cities.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Blue Gap, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Blue Gap looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Blue Gap is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 35%, about 19 points below the Arizona average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 50% of adults in Blue Gap report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 68% of adults in Blue Gap have completed high school, below 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.