Hard Rocks is a Democratic stronghold. About 77% of voters here vote Democratic and 23% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Hard Rocks typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hard Rocks, ~45% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hard Rocks compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hard Rocks leans more Democratic than 1 of 12 neighbors.
Hard Rocks runs about 60 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Hard Rocks is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hard Rocks. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+60) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+48), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Hard Rocks leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hard Rocks, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hard Rocks votes against the grain of Arizona. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Hard Rocks runs about 60 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 49% of adults in Hard Rocks have never been married, above 98% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Hard Rocks, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Hard Rocks looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hard Rocks is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 35%, about 19 points below the Arizona average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 49% of adults in Hard Rocks report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 77% of adults in Hard Rocks have completed high school, below 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sand Springs, AZ D+52
- Pinon, AZ D+58
- Bacavi, AZ D+58
- Hotevilla, AZ D+58
- Oraibi, AZ D+58
- Polacca, AZ D+68
- Sichomovi, AZ D+68
- Walpi, AZ D+68
- Shongopovi, AZ D+61
- Second Mesa, AZ D+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- Iatan, MO R+41
- Ambler, AK D+19
- Nida, OK R+71
- Turon, MS R+81
- Rozel, KS R+70
- Lyme Center, NH D+37
- Prairie Corners, WI R+37
- Twin Lakes, CO R+4
- Jasper Mills, OH R+71
- Hiram, KY R+78
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.