Bolivar leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Bolivar typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bolivar, ~20% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bolivar compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bolivar leans more Republican than 34 of 102 neighbors.
Bolivar runs about 57 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Bolivar is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Bolivar leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bolivar, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Bolivar votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Bolivar runs about 57 points more Republican.
Cholesterol-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high cholesterol-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Bolivar, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cholesterol screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Bolivar looks the way it does
Turnout in Bolivar sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Richburg, NY R+49
- Little Genesee, NY R+50
- Vosburg, NY R+45
- West Clarksville, NY R+47
- Allentown, NY R+44
- Alma, NY R+48
- Ceres, NY R+51
- Nile, NY R+46
- Shinglehouse, PA R+56
Cities with Similar Populations
- East Bronson, FL R+46
- Sardis City, AL R+80
- Marion, MT R+58
- Ford Heights, IL D+79
- Greenbush, MI R+31
- Brooklawn, NJ D+5
- Margaretville, NY Even
- Garden Plain, KS R+61
- Arnoldsville, GA R+46
- Arma, KS R+45
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.