Breeds leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Breeds typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Breeds, ~24% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Breeds compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Breeds leans more Republican than 36 of 79 neighbors.
Breeds runs about 50 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Breeds is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Breeds leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Breeds, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Breeds, about 98% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 10 points below the Illinois average of 27%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 87% of households in Breeds are family households, above 98% of cities. Breeds runs against the grain of Illinois, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Breeds, IL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Breeds looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 93% of households in Breeds own their home, about 13 points above the Illinois average of 80%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rawalts, IL R+39
- Glasford, IL R+41
- Banner, IL R+45
- Brereton, IL R+36
- Trivoli, IL R+36
- Canton, IL R+18
- Kingston Mines, IL R+46
- Smithville, IL R+35
- Norris, IL R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fanchers Mills, TN R+69
- Opdyke West, TX R+80
- Egan, SD R+28
- Simmons, KY R+67
- Hannibal, OH R+58
- Big Creek, LA R+89
- Retreat, WI R+27
- Yale, SD R+61
- Suver, OR R+4
- St. Charles, ID R+72
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.