Brownsmead leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Brownsmead typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Brownsmead, ~27% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Brownsmead compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Brownsmead leans more Republican than 31 of 40 neighbors.
Brownsmead runs about 44 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Brownsmead is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Brownsmead leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Brownsmead, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Brownsmead live in densely developed areas, about 28 points below the Oregon average of 31%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Brownsmead are family households, above 88% of cities. Brownsmead runs against the grain of Oregon, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Brownsmead, OR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Brownsmead looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Brownsmead own their home, about 17 points above the Oregon average of 74%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Knappa, OR R+26
- Svensen, OR R+21
- Cathlamet, WA R+15
- Westport, OR R+29
- Skamokawa Valley, WA R+26
- Skamokawa, WA R+26
- Woodson, OR R+33
- Fern Hill, OR R+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- Maple Leaf, SD D+52
- McCall, IL R+58
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.