Buffalo Junction leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Buffalo Junction typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Buffalo Junction, ~23% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Buffalo Junction compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Buffalo Junction leans more Republican than 54 of 69 neighbors.
Buffalo Junction runs about 41 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Buffalo Junction is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Buffalo Junction. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+40) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+17), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Buffalo Junction leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Buffalo Junction, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Buffalo Junction votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Buffalo Junction runs about 41 points more Republican. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 85% of residents in Buffalo Junction drive to work alone, above 81% of cities.
Cholesterol-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high cholesterol-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Buffalo Junction, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cholesterol screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Buffalo Junction looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Buffalo Junction is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 62%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Puryear Corner, VA R+31
- Buffalo Springs, VA R+39
- Nelson, VA R+42
- Clarksville, VA R+26
- Jeffress, VA R+28
- Midway, VA R+42
- Bullock, NC R+26
- Virgilina, VA R+53
- Skipwith, VA R+28
- Dryburg, VA R+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Elsah, IL R+32
- Melbourne, IA R+44
- Camanche North Shore, CA R+45
- Merry, AL R+9
- Mount Pleasant, FL D+57
- Milnor, ND R+50
- Russell, FL R+48
- Seiling, OK R+72
- Pleasant View Village, IN R+52
- South Waverly, PA R+26
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.