Butler Center leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Butler Center typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Butler Center, ~17% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Butler Center compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Butler Center leans more Republican than 92 of 93 neighbors.
Butler Center runs about 56 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Butler Center is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Butler Center leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Butler Center, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 8% of adults in Butler Center hold a bachelor's degree, about 26 points below the New York average of 34%. Butler Center runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Butler Center, NY sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Butler Center looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 13% of homes in Butler Center have more than one occupant per room, above 98% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 82% of adults in Butler Center have completed high school, below 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- South Butler, NY R+43
- Wolcott, NY R+35
- Rose, NY R+41
- Red Creek, NY R+43
- Spring Lake, NY R+42
- Savannah, NY R+41
- North Rose, NY R+33
- North Wolcott, NY R+41
- Clyde, NY R+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Grand Marais, MI R+25
- Owings, SC R+61
- Burning Springs, KY R+78
- Donnellson, IL R+49
- Effie, MN R+38
- Irwin, MO R+74
- Cambridge Junction, MI R+36
- Holland, KY R+70
- Lawrenceburg, MO R+70
- Iberia, KY R+66
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.