Caballo leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 93% of adults in Caballo typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Caballo, ~30% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~7% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Caballo compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Caballo leans more Republican than 9 of 12 neighbors.
Caballo runs about 42 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Caballo is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Caballo. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+46) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+20), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Caballo leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Caballo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Caballo votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Caballo runs about 42 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Caballo sits in the bottom quarter on density (fewer than 1%, in the bottom fraction of cities).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Caballo, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Caballo looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Caballo own their home, about 11 points above the New Mexico average of 80%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Caballo sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Williamsburg, NM R+21
- Arrey, NM R+22
- Truth Or Consequences, NM R+3
- Derry, NM R+29
- Cuchillo, NM R+45
- Hillsboro, NM R+20
- Garfield, NM Even
- Elephant Butte, NM R+42
- Salem, NM Even
- Hot Springs Landing, NM R+45
Cities with Similar Populations
- Logan, MT R+35
- Moundville, MO R+68
- Busy Corner, MS R+73
- Wyndmere, ND R+46
- Groveland, IN R+60
- Three Oaks, TN R+76
- Lynx, OH R+64
- Glenfield, NC R+6
- Hagewood, LA R+69
- Mercer, TN R+11
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.