Elephant Butte leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 87% of adults in Elephant Butte typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elephant Butte, ~25% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elephant Butte compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elephant Butte leans more Republican than 5 of 7 neighbors.
Elephant Butte runs about 48 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Elephant Butte is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Elephant Butte leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elephant Butte, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Elephant Butte votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Elephant Butte runs about 48 points more Republican. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Elephant Butte runs against that pattern.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Elephant Butte, NM sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Elephant Butte looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Elephant Butte is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Truth Or Consequences, NM R+3
- Williamsburg, NM R+21
- Cuchillo, NM R+45
- Hot Springs Landing, NM R+45
- Caballo, NM R+36
- Monticello, NM R+38
- Arrey, NM R+22
- Derry, NM R+29
- Hillsboro, NM R+20
- Garfield, NM Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Roseburg, MI R+54
- Falkner, MS R+65
- Warm Springs, GA R+34
- Creston, MT R+41
- Bloomville, OH R+56
- Wellston, MO D+83
- Geronimo, OK R+56
- Spencer, VA R+47
- Conway Springs, KS R+57
- Ellsworth, MI R+26
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.