Calaveras County leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Calaveras County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Calaveras County, ~27% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Calaveras County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Calaveras County leans more Republican than 5 of 6 neighbors.
Calaveras County runs about 49 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Calaveras County is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Calaveras County. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+12) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+41), a spread of about 54 points.
Why Calaveras County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Calaveras County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Calaveras County votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Calaveras County runs about 49 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 71% of households in Calaveras County are family households, above 84% of counties.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Calaveras County, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Calaveras County looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 85% of households in Calaveras County own their home, about 23 points above the California average of 62%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Amador County, CA R+35
- Tuolumne County, CA R+18
- San Joaquin County, CA D+4
- El Dorado County, CA R+13
- Stanislaus County, CA R+8
- Sacramento County, CA D+20
- Placer County, CA R+11
- Mariposa County, CA R+16
- Alpine County, CA D+36
- Merced County, CA R+3
Counties with Similar Populations
- Hopkins County, KY R+48
- Dunn County, WI R+15
- Washington Parish, LA R+36
- Shelby County, IN R+47
- Itasca County, MN R+22
- Chilton County, AL R+69
- Lawrence County, IN R+51
- Polk County, WI R+33
- Macoupin County, IL R+42
- Washington County, MS D+48
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.